Forecast for Conservative Target Seats after 5% Swing

This chart shows the forecast effect of a 5% swing from Labour to the Conservatives . The seats are sorted according to the forecast Conservative percentage majority (or shortfall). Seats gained are shown in bold.

5% Con to Lab 5% Con to Lab (Lab Targets) May 1997 5% Lab to Con 5% Lab To Con (Con Targets) 10% Lab to Con 10% Lab To Con (Con Targets) 15% Lab to Con 15% Lab To Con (Con Targets)

Pos. Constituency Winner Votes Gain Info. Majority Swing Info.

1

 Wellingborough [Sir Peter Fry] Con 27481 Lab 22040 LDm 5279 UKInd 1192 NLP 297 Con gain from Lab 5441 (9.67%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

2

 Kettering [Roger Freeman] Con 27308 Lab 21803 LDm 6098 Ref 1551 NLP 197 Con gain from Lab 5505 (9.67%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

3

 Milton Keynes North East [Peter Butler] Con 22522 Lab 17640 LDm 8907 Ref 1492 Grn 576 NLP 99 Con gain from Lab 4882 (9.53%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

4

 Rugby & Kenilworth [James Pawsey] Con 28921 Lab 23296 LDm 8737 NLP 251 Con gain from Lab 5625 (9.19%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

5

 Northampton South [Michael Morris] Con 26325 Lab 21359 LDm 6316 Ref 1405 UKInd 1159 NLP 541 Con gain from Lab 4966 (8.70%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

6

 Romford [Sir Michael Neubert] Con 19643 Lab 16082 LDm 3341 Ref 1431 Lib 1100 BNP 522 Con gain from Lab 3561 (8.45%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

7

 Lancaster & Wyre [Keith Mans] Con 26821 Lab 22230 LDm 6802 Ref 1516 Grn 795 UKInd 698 Con gain from Lab 4591 (7.80%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

8

 Harwich [Iain Sproat] Con 22199 Lab 18065 LDm 7037 Ref 4923 CRP 1290 Con gain from Lab 4134 (7.73%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

9

 Castle Point [Dr Robert Spink] Con 21917 Lab 18177 LDm 4477 Ref 2700 IDCP 1301 Con gain from Lab 3740 (7.70%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

10

 Norfolk North West [Henry Bellingham] Con 26790 Lab 22371 LDm 5513 Ref 2923 Con gain from Lab 4419 (7.67%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

11

 Harrow West [Robert Hughes] Con 23196 Lab 19186 LDm 8127 Ref 1997 Con gain from Lab 4010 (7.64%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

12

 Bristol West [William Waldegrave] Con 23707 Lab 18936 LDm 17551 Ref 1304 Grn 852 SocLab 244 NLP 47 Con gain from Lab 4771 (7.62%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

13

 Braintree [Tony Newton] Con 25056 Lab 20951 LDm 6418 Ref 2165 Grn 712 NewWay 274 Con gain from Lab 4105 (7.39%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

14

 Shrewsbury & Atcham [Derek Conway] Con 21581 Lab 17717 LDm 13838 Ref 1346 UKInd 477 CFSS 257 PPP 128 Con gain from Lab 3864 (6.98%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

15

 Enfield Southgate [Michael Portillo] Con 21463 Lab 18244 LDm 4966 Ref 1342 CDem 289 Mal 229 Con gain from Lab 3219 (6.92%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

16

 Gillingham [James Couchman] Con 20741 Lab 17653 LDm 9649 Ref 1492 UKInd 590 Lny 305 BNP 195 NLP 58 Con gain from Lab 3088 (6.09%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

17

 Sittingbourne & Sheppey [Sir Roger Moate] Con 19102 Lab 16415 LDm 8447 Ref 1082 Lny 644 UKInd 472 Con gain from Lab 2687 (5.82%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

18

 Clwyd West [Roderick Richards] Con 15082 Lab 12906 PC 5421 LDm 5151 Ref 1114 Cvty 583 Con gain from Lab 2176 (5.41%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

19

 Stroud [Roger Knapman] Con 26377 Lab 23053 LDm 9502 Grn 3415 Con gain from Lab 3324 (5.33%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

20

 Winchester [Gerry Malone] Con 29200 LDm 26100 Lab 3426 Ref 1598 TCLD 640 UKInd 476 Lny 307 IndAFE 307 Con gain from LDm 3100 (5.00%) Swing LDm to Con 22.32%

21

 Falmouth & Cambourne [Sebastian Coe] Con 18144 Lab 15470 LDm 13512 Ref 3534 IndL 1691 Lib 527 UKInd 355 MK 238 Lny 161 Con gain from Lab 2674 (4.99%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

22

 Torbay [Rupert Allason] Con 23748 LDm 21094 Lab 5257 UKInd 1962 Lib 1161 RDrm 100 Con gain from LDm 2654 (4.98%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

23

 Kingston & Surbiton [Richard Tracey] Con 23138 LDm 20411 Lab 10028 Ref 1470 UKInd 418 NLP 100 RDrm 100 Con gain from LDm 2727 (4.90%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

24

 Hastings & Rye [Jacqui Lait] Con 16760 Lab 14414 LDm 13717 Ref 2511 Lib 1046 UKInd 472 Lny 149 Con gain from Lab 2346 (4.78%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

25

 Somerton & Frome [Mark Robinson] Con 25424 LDm 22684 Lab 6515 Ref 2449 UKInd 331 Con gain from LDm 2740 (4.77%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

26

 Warwick & Leamington [Sir Dudley Smith] Con 26353 Lab 23743 LDm 7133 Ref 1484 Grn 764 UKInd 306 EDP 183 NLP 125 Con gain from Lab 2610 (4.34%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

27

 Shipley [Sir Marcus Fox] Con 22609 Lab 20319 LDm 7984 Ref 1960 Con gain from Lab 2290 (4.33%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

28

 Chatham & Aylesford [Richard Knox-Johnston] Con 20859 Lab 18733 LDm 7389 Ref 1538 UKInd 493 NLP 149 Con gain from Lab 2126 (4.32%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

29

 Newark [Richard Alexander] Con 23078 Lab 20898 LDm 5960 Ref 2035 Con gain from Lab 2180 (4.19%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

30

 Wirral West [David Hunt] Con 20641 Lab 18691 LDm 5945 Ref 1613 Con gain from Lab 1950 (4.16%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

31

 Wimbledon [Sir C. Goodson-Wickes] Con 20111 Lab 18257 LDm 8014 Ref 993 Grn 474 ProLife 346 MBBBQ 112 RDrm 47 Con gain from Lab 1854 (3.83%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

32

 Reading West [Nicholas Bennett] Con 21263 Lab 19422 LDm 6153 Ref 976 BNP 320 UKInd 255 Con gain from Lab 1841 (3.80%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

33

 Eastwood [Paul Cullen] Con 20141 Lab 18155 SNP 6826 LDm 6110 Ref 497 ProLife 393 UKInd 113 Con gain from Lab 1986 (3.80%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

34

 Finchley & Golders Green [John Marshall] Con 22506 Lab 20665 LDm 5670 Ref 684 Grn 576 UKInd 205 Con gain from Lab 1841 (3.66%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

35

 Eastleigh [Stephen Reid] Con 21473 LDm 19453 Lab 12109 Ref 2013 UKInd 446 Con gain from LDm 2020 (3.64%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

36

 Thanet South [Jonathan Aitken] Con 20148 Lab 18528 LDm 5263 UKInd 631 Grn 418 Con gain from Lab 1620 (3.60%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

37

 Illford North [Vivian Bendall] Con 22353 Lab 20693 LDm 5049 BNP 750 Con gain from Lab 1660 (3.40%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

38

 Hemel Hempstead [Robert Jones] Con 24293 Lab 22421 LDm 6789 Ref 1327 NLP 262 Con gain from Lab 1872 (3.40%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

39

 Wrekin The [Peter Bruinvels] Con 20481 Lab 18980 LDm 5807 Con gain from Lab 1501 (3.32%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

40

 Upminster [Sir Nicholas Bonsor] Con 18380 Lab 17020 LDm 3919 Ref 2000 Con gain from Lab 1360 (3.29%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

41

 Putney [David Mellor] Con 19307 Lab 17885 LDm 4739 Ref 1518 UKInd 233 Stan 101 SportsA 90 NLP 66 IndBeaut 49 RenDem 7 Con gain from Lab 1422 (3.23%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

42

 Selby [Ken Hind] Con 24817 Lab 23023 LDm 6778 Ref 1162 UKInd 536 Con gain from Lab 1794 (3.19%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

43

 Croydon Central [David Congdon] Con 24324 Lab 22643 LDm 6061 Ref 1886 Grn 595 UKInd 290 Con gain from Lab 1681 (3.01%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

44

 Bexleyheath & Crayford [David Evennett] Con 20938 Lab 19531 LDm 5391 Ref 1551 BNP 429 UKInd 383 Con gain from Lab 1407 (2.92%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

45

 Hammersmith & Fulham [Matthew Carrington] Con 24121 Lab 22561 LDm 4728 Ref 1023 NLab 695 Grn 562 UKInd 183 NLP 79 Care 74 Con gain from Lab 1560 (2.89%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

46

 Gedling [Andrew Mitchell] Con 23196 Lab 21782 LDm 5180 Ref 2006 Con gain from Lab 1414 (2.71%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

47

 Weston-Super-Mare [Margaret Daly] Con 22801 LDm 21407 Lab 6889 Ref 2280 Con gain from LDm 1394 (2.61%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

48

 Reading East [John Watts] Con 20177 Lab 18950 LDm 9307 Ref 1042 NLP 254 UKInd 252 BNP 238 Con gain from Lab 1227 (2.44%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

49

 Lewes [Tim Rathbone] Con 22408 LDm 21250 Lab 2774 Ref 2481 UKInd 256 Con gain from LDm 1158 (2.36%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

50

 Brighton Kemptown [Sir Andrew Bowden] Con 20251 Lab 19173 LDm 4478 Ref 1526 SocLab 316 NLP 172 Lny 123 RDrm 93 Con gain from Lab 1078 (2.34%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

51

 Leeds North West [Dr Keith Hampson] Con 18318 Lab 17226 LDm 11689 Ref 1325 SocLab 335 ProLife 251 RRP 232 Con gain from Lab 1092 (2.21%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

52

 Colchester [Stephan Shakespeare] Con 18905 LDm 17886 Lab 13291 Ref 1776 NLP 148 Con gain from LDm 1019 (1.96%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

53

 Hove [Robert Guy] Con 19905 Lab 19052 LDm 4645 Ref 1931 IndC 1735 Grn 644 UKInd 209 Con gain from Lab 853 (1.77%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

54

 Devon West & Torridge [Iain Liddell-Grainger] Con 25744 LDm 24744 Lab 4362 Ref 1946 UKInd 1841 Lib 508 Con gain from LDm 1000 (1.69%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

55

 Dartford [Robert Dunn] Con 23549 Lab 22679 LDm 4827 BNP 428 FDP 287 CDem 228 Con gain from Lab 870 (1.67%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

56

 Stafford [David Cameron] Con 22880 Lab 22018 LDm 5480 Ref 1146 Lny 248 Con gain from Lab 862 (1.66%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

57

 Northavon [Sir John Cope] Con 27489 LDm 26500 Lab 6641 Ref 1900 Con gain from LDm 989 (1.58%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

58

 Bradford West [Mohammed Riaz] Con 17333 Lab 16654 LDm 6737 SocLab 1551 Ref 1348 Grn 861 BNP 839 SP 245 Con gain from Lab 679 (1.49%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

59

 Monmouth [Roger Evans] Con 21677 Lab 20953 LDm 4689 Ref 1190 PC 516 Con gain from Lab 724 (1.48%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

60

 Colne Valley [Graham Riddick] Con 21265 Lab 20465 LDm 12755 SocLab 759 Grn 493 UKInd 478 Lny 196 Con gain from Lab 800 (1.42%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

61

 Wansdyke [Mark Prisk] Con 22054 Lab 21381 LDm 9205 Ref 1327 UKInd 438 Lny 225 NLP 92 Con gain from Lab 673 (1.23%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

62

 St Albans [David Rutley] Con 19419 Lab 18798 LDm 10692 Ref 1619 RDrm 166 NLP 111 Con gain from Lab 621 (1.22%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

63

 Aberdeen South [Raymond Robertson] Con 13824 Lab 13338 LDm 12176 SNP 4299 Ref 425 Con gain from Lab 486 (1.10%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

64

 Taunton [David Nicholson] Con 26671 LDm 26064 Lab 5198 Ref 2760 BNP 318 Con gain from LDm 607 (0.99%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

65

 Ribble South [Robert Atkins] Con 23533 Lab 23095 LDm 5879 Ref 1475 Lib 1127 NLP 122 Con gain from Lab 438 (0.79%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

66

 Scarborough & Whitby [John Sykes] Con 22383 Lab 22075 LDm 7672 Ref 2191 Con gain from Lab 308 (0.57%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

67

 Sutton & Cheam [Lady Olga Maitland] Con 20176 LDm 19919 Lab 4926 Ref 1784 UKInd 191 NLP 96 Con gain from LDm 257 (0.55%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

68

 Portsmouth North [Peter Griffiths] Con 19279 Lab 19076 LDm 4788 Ref 1757 UKInd 298 WsxReg 72 Con gain from Lab 203 (0.45%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

69

 Broxtowe [Sir James Lester] Con 24674 Lab 24437 LDm 6934 Ref 2092 Con gain from Lab 237 (0.41%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

70

 Carshalton & Wallington [Nigel Forman] Con 18644 LDm 18490 Lab 9144 Ref 1289 Grn 377 BNP 261 UKInd 218 Con gain from LDm 154 (0.32%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

71

 Birmingham Edgbaston [Andrew Marshall] Con 21135 Lab 21131 LDm 4691 Ref 1065 BDP 443 Con gain from Lab 4 (0.01%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

72

 Richmond Park [Dr Jenny Tonge] LDm 25393 Con 25284 Lab 4330 Ref 1467 Lny 204 NLP 102 RDrm 73 LDm hold 109 (0.19%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

73

 Wolverhampton South West [Jenny Jones] Lab 22211 Con 21985 LDm 4012 Lib 713 Lab hold 226 (0.46%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

74

 Watford [Claire Ward] Lab 22258 Con 21988 LDm 9272 Ref 1484 NLP 234 Lab hold 270 (0.49%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

75

 Brent North [Barry Gardiner] Lab 17435 Con 17232 LDm 3104 NLP 204 RDrm 199 Lab hold 203 (0.53%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

76

 Welwyn Hatfield [Melanie Johnson] Lab 22288 Con 21989 LDm 7161 RA 1263 ProLife 267 Lab hold 299 (0.56%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

77

 Edinburgh Pentlands [Linda Clark] Lab 17388 Con 17100 SNP 5952 LDm 4575 Ref 422 Grn 224 UKInd 81 Lab hold 288 (0.63%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

78

 Gravesham [Chris Pond] Lab 23798 Con 23343 LDm 4128 Ref 1441 Ind 414 NLP 129 Lab hold 455 (0.85%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

79

 Loughborough [Andrew Reed] Lab 22830 Con 22354 LDm 6190 Ref 991 Lab hold 476 (0.91%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

80

 Swindon South [Julia Drown] Lab 21385 Con 20856 LDm 7371 Ref 1273 Route66 181 NLP 96 Lab hold 529 (1.03%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

81

 Calder Valley [Christine McCafferty] Lab 23227 Con 22618 LDm 8322 Ref 1380 Grn 488 BNP 431 Lab hold 609 (1.08%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

82

 Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine [Sir Robert Smith] LDm 17742 Con 17239 SNP 5639 Lab 1764 Ref 805 LDm hold 503 (1.16%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

83

 Battersea [Martin Linton] Lab 21678 Con 21056 LDm 3482 Ref 804 UKInd 250 RDrm 127 Lab hold 622 (1.31%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

84

 Stourbridge [Debra Shipley] Lab 20967 Con 20292 LDm 7123 Ref 1319 Lab hold 675 (1.36%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

85

 Burton [Janet Dean] Lab 25085 Con 24205 LDm 4617 NatDem 604 Lab hold 880 (1.61%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

86

 Pudsey [Paul Truswell] Lab 22734 Con 21799 LDm 7375 Ref 823 Lab hold 935 (1.77%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

87

 Conwy [Roger Roberts] LDm 12965 Lab 12483 Con 12163 PC 2844 Ref 760 AltLD 250 NLP 95 LDm gain from Lab 482 (1.16%) Swing Lab to LDm 2.50%

88

 Medway [Robert Marshall-Andrews] Lab 19621 Con 18741 LDm 4555 Ref 1420 UKInd 405 Lab hold 880 (1.97%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

89

 Perth [Roseanna Cunningham] SNP 16209 Con 15295 Lab 8809 LDm 3583 Ref 366 UKInd 289 SNP hold 914 (2.05%) Swing SNP to Con 2.50%

90

 Morecambe & Lunesdale [Geraldine Smith] Lab 21599 Con 20558 LDm 5614 Ref 1313 NLP 165 Lab hold 1041 (2.11%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

91

 Hendon [Andrew Dismore] Lab 22182 Con 21029 LDm 5427 Ref 978 UKInd 267 WRP 153 Lab hold 1153 (2.30%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

92

 Twickenham [Dr Vincent Cable] LDm 26237 Con 24863 Lab 6158 IndECR 589 RDrm 155 NLP 142 LDm hold 1374 (2.36%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

93

 Wyre Forest [David Lock] Lab 24091 Con 22649 LDm 4377 Ref 1956 Lib 1670 UKInd 312 Lab hold 1442 (2.62%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

94

 Forest of Dean [Diana Organ] Lab 21694 Con 20369 LDm 6165 Ref 1624 IndRFD 218 21stCIF 80 IndF 34 Lab hold 1325 (2.64%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

95

 Hornchurch [John Cryer] Lab 19869 Con 18583 LDm 3446 Ref 1595 TW 259 ProLife 189 Lab hold 1286 (2.93%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

96

 Batley & Spen [Mike Wood] Lab 20865 Con 19420 LDm 4133 Ref 1691 BNP 472 Grn 384 Lab hold 1445 (3.08%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

97

 Portsmouth South [Mike Hancock] LDm 20421 Con 18678 Lab 10502 Ref 1629 Lib 184 UKInd 141 NLP 140 LDm hold 1743 (3.37%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

98

 Brigg & Goole [Ian Cawsey] Lab 21153 Con 19444 LDm 4692 Ref 1513 Lab hold 1709 (3.65%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

99

 Redditch [Ms Jacqui Smith] Lab 20043 Con 18392 LDm 4935 Ref 1151 NLP 227 Lab hold 1651 (3.69%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

100

 Isle of Wight [Dr Peter Brand] LDm 31274 Con 28525 Lab 5989 Ref 4734 UKInd 1072 IInd 848 Grn 544 NLP 87 RainIsl 86 LDm hold 2749 (3.76%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

101

 Keighley [Ann Cryer] Lab 23465 Con 21481 LDm 5064 Ref 1470 Lab hold 1984 (3.85%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

102

 Tweedale Ettrick & Lauderdale [Michael Moore] LDm 12178 Con 10573 Lab 8739 SNP 6671 Ref 406 Lib 387 NLP 47 LDm hold 1605 (4.12%) Swing Lab to LDm 2.50%

103

 Tayside North [John Swinney] SNP 20447 Con 18566 LDm 3716 Lab 2862 SNP hold 1881 (4.13%) Swing SNP to Con 2.50%

104

 Gloucester [Tess Kingham] Lab 26048 Con 23579 LDm 6069 Ref 1482 UKInd 455 NLP 281 Lab hold 2469 (4.26%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

105

 Bury North [David Chaytor] Lab 25771 Con 23409 LDm 4536 Ref 1337 Lab hold 2362 (4.29%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

106

 Enfield North [Joan Ryan] Lab 21765 Con 19709 LDm 4264 Ref 857 BNP 590 UKInd 484 Lab hold 2056 (4.31%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

107

 Bolton West [Ruth Kelly] Lab 21884 Con 19728 LDm 5309 SocLab 1374 Ref 865 Lab hold 2156 (4.39%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

108

 Worcester [Michael Foster] Lab 23268 Con 21003 LDm 6462 UKInd 886 Lab hold 2265 (4.39%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

109

 Wirral South [Ben Chapman] Lab 22095 Con 19899 LDm 5018 Ref 768 ProLife 264 NLP 51 Lab hold 2196 (4.57%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

110

 Ayr [Sandra Osborne] Lab 19442 Con 17373 SNP 5625 LDm 2116 Ref 200 Lab hold 2069 (4.62%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

111

 Stirling [Anne McGuire] Lab 18235 Con 16118 SNP 5752 LDm 2675 UKInd 154 Value 24 Lab hold 2117 (4.93%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

112

 Tamworth [Brian Jenkins] Lab 23316 Con 20804 LDm 4025 Ref 1163 UKInd 369 Lib 177 Lab hold 2512 (5.04%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

113

 Peterborough [Helen Brinton] Lab 21944 Con 19463 LDm 5170 Ref 924 NLP 334 UKInd 317 ProLife 275 Lab hold 2481 (5.12%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

114

 Erewash [Elizabeth Blackman] Lab 28180 Con 25077 LDm 5181 Ref 1404 SocLab 496 Lab hold 3103 (5.14%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

115

 Oxford West & Abingdon [Dr Evan Harris] LDm 26268 Con 23042 Lab 9302 Ref 1258 Grn 691 UKInd 258 ProLife 238 NLP 91 LGR 48 LDm hold 3226 (5.27%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

116

 Leeds North East [Fabian Hamilton] Lab 20093 Con 17684 LDm 6318 Ref 946 SocLab 468 Lab hold 2409 (5.29%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

117

 High Peak [Tom Levitt] Lab 26195 Con 23118 LDm 6420 Ref 1420 Lab hold 3077 (5.38%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

118

 Swindon North [Michael Wills] Lab 21616 Con 18754 LDm 6237 Ref 1533 NLP 130 Lab hold 2862 (5.93%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

119

 Elmet [Colin Burgon] Lab 25644 Con 22273 LDm 4691 Ref 1487 Lab hold 3371 (6.23%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

120

 Crosby [Clare Curtis-Tansley] Lab 20342 Con 17574 LDm 5080 Ref 813 Lib 233 NLP 99 Lab hold 2768 (6.27%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

121

 Devon North [Nick Harvey] LDm 27824 Con 24384 Lab 2626 LDm hold 3440 (6.27%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

122

 Cornwall South East [Colin Breed] LDm 27044 Con 23435 Lab 4487 UKInd 1428 MK 573 Lib 268 NLP 197 LDm hold 3609 (6.28%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

123

 Ealing North [Stephen Pound] Lab 27118 Con 23530 LDm 3887 UKInd 689 Grn 502 Lab hold 3588 (6.44%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

124

 Inverness East Nairn & Lochaber [Fergus Ewing] SNP 13848 Lab 13799 Con 10743 LDm 8364 Ref 436 Grn 354 CU 224 SNP gain from Lab 49 (0.10%) Swing Lab to SNP 2.50%

125

 Blackpool North & Fleetwood [Joan Humble] Lab 25364 Con 21792 LDm 4600 Ref 1704 BNP 288 Lab hold 3572 (6.65%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

126

 Cardiff North [Julie Morgan] Lab 22036 Con 18758 LDm 5294 PC 1201 Ref 1199 Lab hold 3278 (6.76%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

127

 Brecon & Radnorshire [Richard Livsey] LDm 17516 Con 14563 Lab 9280 Ref 900 PC 622 LDm hold 2953 (6.89%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

128

 Bedford [Patrick Hall] Lab 22327 Con 18921 LDm 6044 Ref 1503 NLP 149 Lab hold 3406 (6.96%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

129

 Harrow East [Tony McNulty] Lab 27078 Con 23038 LDm 4697 Ref 1537 UKInd 464 NLP 171 Lab hold 4040 (7.09%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

130

 Chorley [Lindsay Hoyle] Lab 27722 Con 23622 LDm 4900 Ref 1319 NLP 143 Lab hold 4100 (7.10%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

131

 Southport [Ronnie Fearn] LDm 24346 Con 20715 Lab 3596 Ref 1368 Lib 386 NLP 93 NatDem 92 LDm hold 3631 (7.18%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

132

 Norwich North [Dr Ian Gibson] Lab 24594 Con 20628 LDm 6951 Ref 1777 LCP 512 SocLab 495 NLP 100 Lab hold 3966 (7.20%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

133

 Hereford [Paul Keetch] LDm 25198 Con 21177 Lab 3969 Ref 2209 LDm hold 4021 (7.65%) Swing LDm to Con 2.50%

134

 Great Yarmouth [Tony Wright] Lab 23640 Con 19860 LDm 5381 Lab hold 3780 (7.73%) Swing Lab to Con 5.00%

135

 Harrogate & Knaresborough [Phil Willis] LDm 24558 Con 20704 Lab 1777 LC 614 LDm hold