Forecast for Conservative Target Seats after 10% Swing

This chart shows the forecast effect of a 10% swing from Labour to the Conservatives . The seats are sorted according to the forecast Conservative percentage majority (or shortfall). Seats gained are shown in bold.

5% Con to Lab 5% Con to Lab (Lab Targets) May 1997 5% Lab to Con 5% Lab To Con (Con Targets) 10% Lab to Con 10% Lab To Con (Con Targets) 15% Lab to Con 15% Lab To Con (Con Targets)

Pos. Constituency Winner Votes Gain Info. Majority Swing Info.

1

 Kettering [Roger Freeman] Con 30156 Lab 18955 LDm 6098 Ref 1551 NLP 197 Con gain from Lab 11201 (19.67%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

2

 Wellingborough [Sir Peter Fry] Con 30295 Lab 19226 LDm 5279 UKInd 1192 NLP 297 Con gain from Lab 11069 (19.66%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

3

 Milton Keynes North East [Peter Butler] Con 25084 Lab 15078 LDm 8907 Ref 1492 Grn 576 NLP 99 Con gain from Lab 10006 (19.53%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

4

 Rugby & Kenilworth [James Pawsey] Con 31981 Lab 20236 LDm 8737 NLP 251 Con gain from Lab 11745 (19.19%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

5

 Northampton South [Michael Morris] Con 29180 Lab 18504 LDm 6316 Ref 1405 UKInd 1159 NLP 541 Con gain from Lab 10676 (18.70%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

6

 Romford [Sir Michael Neubert] Con 21749 Lab 13976 LDm 3341 Ref 1431 Lib 1100 BNP 522 Con gain from Lab 7773 (18.45%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

7

 Lancaster & Wyre [Keith Mans] Con 29764 Lab 19287 LDm 6802 Ref 1516 Grn 795 UKInd 698 Con gain from Lab 10477 (17.80%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

8

 Harwich [Iain Sproat] Con 24875 Lab 15389 LDm 7037 Ref 4923 CRP 1290 Con gain from Lab 9486 (17.73%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

9

 Castle Point [Dr Robert Spink] Con 24346 Lab 15748 LDm 4477 Ref 2700 IDCP 1301 Con gain from Lab 8598 (17.70%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

10

 Norfolk North West [Henry Bellingham] Con 29670 Lab 19491 LDm 5513 Ref 2923 Con gain from Lab 10179 (17.67%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

11

 Harrow West [Robert Hughes] Con 25821 Lab 16561 LDm 8127 Ref 1997 Con gain from Lab 9260 (17.64%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

12

 Braintree [Tony Newton] Con 27835 Lab 18172 LDm 6418 Ref 2165 Grn 712 NewWay 274 Con gain from Lab 9663 (17.39%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

13

 Shrewsbury & Atcham [Derek Conway] Con 24348 Lab 14950 LDm 13838 Ref 1346 UKInd 477 CFSS 257 PPP 128 Con gain from Lab 9398 (16.98%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

14

 Enfield Southgate [Michael Portillo] Con 23790 Lab 15917 LDm 4966 Ref 1342 CDem 289 Mal 229 Con gain from Lab 7873 (16.92%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

15

 Gillingham [James Couchman] Con 23275 Lab 15119 LDm 9649 Ref 1492 UKInd 590 Lny 305 BNP 195 NLP 58 Con gain from Lab 8156 (16.09%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

16

 Sittingbourne & Sheppey [Sir Roger Moate] Con 21410 Lab 14107 LDm 8447 Ref 1082 Lny 644 UKInd 472 Con gain from Lab 7303 (15.82%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

17

 Clwyd West [Roderick Richards] Con 17095 Lab 10893 PC 5421 LDm 5151 Ref 1114 Cvty 583 Con gain from Lab 6202 (15.41%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

18

 Stroud [Roger Knapman] Con 29494 Lab 19936 LDm 9502 Grn 3415 Con gain from Lab 9558 (15.33%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

19

 Bristol West [William Waldegrave] Con 26839 LDm 17551 Lab 15804 Ref 1304 Grn 852 SocLab 244 NLP 47 Con gain from Lab 9288 (14.83%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

20

 Warwick & Leamington [Sir Dudley Smith] Con 29358 Lab 20738 LDm 7133 Ref 1484 Grn 764 UKInd 306 EDP 183 NLP 125 Con gain from Lab 8620 (14.34%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

21

 Shipley [Sir Marcus Fox] Con 25253 Lab 17675 LDm 7984 Ref 1960 Con gain from Lab 7578 (14.33%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

22

 Chatham & Aylesford [Richard Knox-Johnston] Con 23317 Lab 16275 LDm 7389 Ref 1538 UKInd 493 NLP 149 Con gain from Lab 7042 (14.32%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

23

 Newark [Richard Alexander] Con 25677 Lab 18299 LDm 5960 Ref 2035 Con gain from Lab 7378 (14.20%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

24

 Wirral West [David Hunt] Con 22986 Lab 16346 LDm 5945 Ref 1613 Con gain from Lab 6640 (14.16%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

25

 Wimbledon [Sir C. Goodson-Wickes] Con 22529 Lab 15839 LDm 8014 Ref 993 Grn 474 ProLife 346 MBBBQ 112 RDrm 47 Con gain from Lab 6690 (13.84%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

26

 Eastwood [Paul Cullen] Con 22753 Lab 15543 SNP 6826 LDm 6110 Ref 497 ProLife 393 UKInd 113 Con gain from Lab 7210 (13.80%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

27

 Reading West [Nicholas Bennett] Con 23682 Lab 17003 LDm 6153 Ref 976 BNP 320 UKInd 255 Con gain from Lab 6679 (13.80%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

28

 Finchley & Golders Green [John Marshall] Con 25021 Lab 18150 LDm 5670 Ref 684 Grn 576 UKInd 205 Con gain from Lab 6871 (13.66%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

29

 Falmouth & Cambourne [Sebastian Coe] Con 20826 LDm 13512 Lab 12788 Ref 3534 IndL 1691 Lib 527 UKInd 355 MK 238 Lny 161 Con gain from Lab 7314 (13.64%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

30

 Thanet South [Jonathan Aitken] Con 22397 Lab 16279 LDm 5263 UKInd 631 Grn 418 Con gain from Lab 6118 (13.60%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

31

 Hemel Hempstead [Robert Jones] Con 27048 Lab 19666 LDm 6789 Ref 1327 NLP 262 Con gain from Lab 7382 (13.40%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

32

 Illford North [Vivian Bendall] Con 24795 Lab 18251 LDm 5049 BNP 750 Con gain from Lab 6544 (13.40%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

33

 Wrekin The [Peter Bruinvels] Con 22744 Lab 16717 LDm 5807 Con gain from Lab 6027 (13.31%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

34

 Upminster [Sir Nicholas Bonsor] Con 20446 Lab 14954 LDm 3919 Ref 2000 Con gain from Lab 5492 (13.29%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

35

 Putney [David Mellor] Con 21507 Lab 15685 LDm 4739 Ref 1518 UKInd 233 Stan 101 SportsA 90 NLP 66 IndBeaut 49 RenDem 7 Con gain from Lab 5822 (13.23%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

36

 Selby [Ken Hind] Con 27633 Lab 20207 LDm 6778 Ref 1162 UKInd 536 Con gain from Lab 7426 (13.19%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

37

 Croydon Central [David Congdon] Con 27114 Lab 19853 LDm 6061 Ref 1886 Grn 595 UKInd 290 Con gain from Lab 7261 (13.01%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

38

 Bexleyheath & Crayford [David Evennett] Con 23349 Lab 17120 LDm 5391 Ref 1551 BNP 429 UKInd 383 Con gain from Lab 6229 (12.92%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

39

 Hammersmith & Fulham [Matthew Carrington] Con 26822 Lab 19860 LDm 4728 Ref 1023 NLab 695 Grn 562 UKInd 183 NLP 79 Care 74 Con gain from Lab 6962 (12.89%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

40

 Gedling [Andrew Mitchell] Con 25804 Lab 19174 LDm 5180 Ref 2006 Con gain from Lab 6630 (12.71%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

41

 Reading East [John Watts] Con 22688 Lab 16439 LDm 9307 Ref 1042 NLP 254 UKInd 252 BNP 238 Con gain from Lab 6249 (12.44%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

42

 Brighton Kemptown [Sir Andrew Bowden] Con 22558 Lab 16866 LDm 4478 Ref 1526 SocLab 316 NLP 172 Lny 123 RDrm 93 Con gain from Lab 5692 (12.34%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

43

 Leeds North West [Dr Keith Hampson] Con 20787 Lab 14757 LDm 11689 Ref 1325 SocLab 335 ProLife 251 RRP 232 Con gain from Lab 6030 (12.21%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

44

 Hove [Robert Guy] Con 22311 Lab 16646 LDm 4645 Ref 1931 IndC 1735 Grn 644 UKInd 209 Con gain from Lab 5665 (11.77%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

45

 Dartford [Robert Dunn] Con 26149 Lab 20079 LDm 4827 BNP 428 FDP 287 CDem 228 Con gain from Lab 6070 (11.67%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

46

 Stafford [David Cameron] Con 25469 Lab 19429 LDm 5480 Ref 1146 Lny 248 Con gain from Lab 6040 (11.67%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

47

 Bradford West [Mohammed Riaz] Con 19611 Lab 14376 LDm 6737 SocLab 1551 Ref 1348 Grn 861 BNP 839 SP 245 Con gain from Lab 5235 (11.49%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

48

 Monmouth [Roger Evans] Con 24128 Lab 18502 LDm 4689 Ref 1190 PC 516 Con gain from Lab 5626 (11.48%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

49

 Colne Valley [Graham Riddick] Con 24086 Lab 17644 LDm 12755 SocLab 759 Grn 493 UKInd 478 Lny 196 Con gain from Lab 6442 (11.42%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

50

 Wansdyke [Mark Prisk] Con 24790 Lab 18645 LDm 9205 Ref 1327 UKInd 438 Lny 225 NLP 92 Con gain from Lab 6145 (11.23%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

51

 St Albans [David Rutley] Con 21959 Lab 16258 LDm 10692 Ref 1619 RDrm 166 NLP 111 Con gain from Lab 5701 (11.22%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

52

 Hastings & Rye [Jacqui Lait] Con 19213 LDm 13717 Lab 11961 Ref 2511 Lib 1046 UKInd 472 Lny 149 Con gain from Lab 5496 (11.20%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

53

 Ribble South [Robert Atkins] Con 26295 Lab 20333 LDm 5879 Ref 1475 Lib 1127 NLP 122 Con gain from Lab 5962 (10.79%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

54

 Scarborough & Whitby [John Sykes] Con 25099 Lab 19359 LDm 7672 Ref 2191 Con gain from Lab 5740 (10.57%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

55

 Portsmouth North [Peter Griffiths] Con 21543 Lab 16812 LDm 4788 Ref 1757 UKInd 298 WsxReg 72 Con gain from Lab 4731 (10.45%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

56

 Broxtowe [Sir James Lester] Con 27581 Lab 21530 LDm 6934 Ref 2092 Con gain from Lab 6051 (10.41%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

57

 Birmingham Edgbaston [Andrew Marshall] Con 23558 Lab 18708 LDm 4691 Ref 1065 BDP 443 Con gain from Lab 4850 (10.01%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

58

 Winchester [Gerry Malone] Con 32303 LDm 26100 Ref 1598 TCLD 640 UKInd 476 Lab 323 Lny 307 IndAFE 307 Con gain from LDm 6203 (10.00%) Swing LDm to Con 24.82%

59

 Torbay [Rupert Allason] Con 26414 LDm 21094 Lab 2591 UKInd 1962 Lib 1161 RDrm 100 Con gain from LDm 5320 (9.98%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

60

 Kingston & Surbiton [Richard Tracey] Con 25921 LDm 20411 Lab 7245 Ref 1470 UKInd 418 NLP 100 RDrm 100 Con gain from LDm 5510 (9.90%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

61

 Somerton & Frome [Mark Robinson] Con 28294 LDm 22684 Lab 3645 Ref 2449 UKInd 331 Con gain from LDm 5610 (9.77%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

62

 Wolverhampton South West [Nicholas Budgen] Con 24431 Lab 19765 LDm 4012 Lib 713 Con gain from Lab 4666 (9.54%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

63

 Watford [Robert Gordon] Con 24750 Lab 19496 LDm 9272 Ref 1484 NLP 234 Con gain from Lab 5254 (9.51%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

64

 Brent North [Sir Rhodes Boyson] Con 19141 Lab 15526 LDm 3104 NLP 204 RDrm 199 Con gain from Lab 3615 (9.47%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

65

 Welwyn Hatfield [David Evans] Con 24637 Lab 19640 LDm 7161 RA 1263 ProLife 267 Con gain from Lab 4997 (9.43%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

66

 Edinburgh Pentlands [Malcolm Rifkind] Con 19387 Lab 15101 SNP 5952 LDm 4575 Ref 422 Grn 224 UKInd 81 Con gain from Lab 4286 (9.37%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

67

 Gravesham [Jacques Arnold] Con 26006 Lab 21135 LDm 4128 Ref 1441 Ind 414 NLP 129 Con gain from Lab 4871 (9.15%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

68

 Loughborough [Kenneth Andrew] Con 24972 Lab 20212 LDm 6190 Ref 991 Con gain from Lab 4760 (9.09%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

69

 Swindon South [Simon Coombs] Con 23414 Lab 18827 LDm 7371 Ref 1273 Route66 181 NLP 96 Con gain from Lab 4587 (8.97%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

70

 Calder Valley [Sir Donald Thompson] Con 25441 Lab 20404 LDm 8322 Ref 1380 Grn 488 BNP 431 Con gain from Lab 5037 (8.92%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

71

 Aberdeen South [Raymond Robertson] Con 16027 LDm 12176 Lab 11135 SNP 4299 Ref 425 Con gain from Lab 3851 (8.74%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

72

 Battersea [John Bowis] Con 23426 Lab 19308 LDm 3482 Ref 804 UKInd 250 RDrm 127 Con gain from Lab 4118 (8.69%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

73

 Stourbridge [Warren Hawksley] Con 22777 Lab 18482 LDm 7123 Ref 1319 Con gain from Lab 4295 (8.64%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

74

 Eastleigh [Stephen Reid] Con 24248 LDm 19453 Lab 9334 Ref 2013 UKInd 446 Con gain from LDm 4795 (8.64%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

75

 Burton [Sir Ivan Lawrence] Con 26931 Lab 22359 LDm 4617 NatDem 604 Con gain from Lab 4572 (8.39%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

76

 Pudsey [Peter Bone] Con 24436 Lab 20097 LDm 7375 Ref 823 Con gain from Lab 4339 (8.23%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

77

 Medway [Dame Peggy Fenner] Con 20978 Lab 17384 LDm 4555 Ref 1420 UKInd 405 Con gain from Lab 3594 (8.03%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

78

 Morecambe & Lunesdale [Sir Mark Lennox-Boyd] Con 23020 Lab 19137 LDm 5614 Ref 1313 NLP 165 Con gain from Lab 3883 (7.88%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

79

 Hendon [Sir John Gorst] Con 23531 Lab 19680 LDm 5427 Ref 978 UKInd 267 WRP 153 Con gain from Lab 3851 (7.70%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

80

 Weston-Super-Mare [Margaret Daly] Con 25470 LDm 21407 Lab 4220 Ref 2280 Con gain from LDm 4063 (7.61%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

81

 Wyre Forest [Anthony Coombs] Con 25402 Lab 21338 LDm 4377 Ref 1956 Lib 1670 UKInd 312 Con gain from Lab 4064 (7.38%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

82

 Forest of Dean [Paul Marland] Con 22878 Lab 19185 LDm 6165 Ref 1624 IndRFD 218 21stCIF 80 IndF 34 Con gain from Lab 3693 (7.36%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

83

 Lewes [Tim Rathbone] Con 24866 LDm 21250 Ref 2481 Lab 316 UKInd 256 Con gain from LDm 3616 (7.35%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

84

 Hornchurch [Robin Squire] Con 20780 Lab 17672 LDm 3446 Ref 1595 TW 259 ProLife 189 Con gain from Lab 3108 (7.07%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

85

 Colchester [Stephan Shakespeare] Con 21505 LDm 17886 Lab 10691 Ref 1776 NLP 148 Con gain from LDm 3619 (6.96%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

86

 Batley & Spen [Elizabeth Peacock] Con 21768 Lab 18517 LDm 4133 Ref 1691 BNP 472 Grn 384 Con gain from Lab 3251 (6.92%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

87

 Devon West & Torridge [Iain Liddell-Grainger] Con 28701 LDm 24744 Ref 1946 UKInd 1841 Lab 1405 Lib 508 Con gain from LDm 3957 (6.69%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

88

 Northavon [Sir John Cope] Con 30616 LDm 26500 Lab 3514 Ref 1900 Con gain from LDm 4116 (6.58%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

89

 Brigg & Goole [Donald Stewart] Con 21784 Lab 18813 LDm 4692 Ref 1513 Con gain from Lab 2971 (6.35%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

90

 Redditch [Anthea McIntyre] Con 20629 Lab 17806 LDm 4935 Ref 1151 NLP 227 Con gain from Lab 2823 (6.31%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

91

 Keighley [Gary Waller] Con 24055 Lab 20891 LDm 5064 Ref 1470 Con gain from Lab 3164 (6.15%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

92

 Taunton [David Nicholson] Con 29722 LDm 26064 Ref 2760 Lab 2147 BNP 318 Con gain from LDm 3658 (6.00%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

93

 Gloucester [Douglas French] Con 26475 Lab 23152 LDm 6069 Ref 1482 UKInd 455 NLP 281 Con gain from Lab 3323 (5.74%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

94

 Bury North [Alistair Burt] Con 26162 Lab 23018 LDm 4536 Ref 1337 Con gain from Lab 3144 (5.71%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

95

 Enfield North [Mark Field] Con 22092 Lab 19382 LDm 4264 Ref 857 BNP 590 UKInd 484 Con gain from Lab 2710 (5.69%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

96

 Bolton West [Thomas Sackville] Con 22186 Lab 19426 LDm 5309 SocLab 1374 Ref 865 Con gain from Lab 2760 (5.61%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

97

 Worcester [Nicholas Bourne] Con 23584 Lab 20687 LDm 6462 UKInd 886 Con gain from Lab 2897 (5.61%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

98

 Sutton & Cheam [Lady Olga Maitland] Con 22531 LDm 19919 Lab 2571 Ref 1784 UKInd 191 NLP 96 Con gain from LDm 2612 (5.55%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

99

 Wirral South [Les Byrom] Con 22304 Lab 19690 LDm 5018 Ref 768 ProLife 264 NLP 51 Con gain from Lab 2614 (5.44%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

100

 Ayr [Phil Gallie] Con 19611 Lab 17204 SNP 5625 LDm 2116 Ref 200 Con gain from Lab 2407 (5.38%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

101

 Carshalton & Wallington [Nigel Forman] Con 21065 LDm 18490 Lab 6723 Ref 1289 Grn 377 BNP 261 UKInd 218 Con gain from LDm 2575 (5.32%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

102

 Stirling [Michael Forsyth] Con 18266 Lab 16087 SNP 5752 LDm 2675 UKInd 154 Value 24 Con gain from Lab 2179 (5.07%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

103

 Tamworth [Lady Ann Lightbown] Con 23297 Lab 20823 LDm 4025 Ref 1163 UKInd 369 Lib 177 Con gain from Lab 2474 (4.96%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

104

 Peterborough [Jacqueline Foster] Con 21884 Lab 19523 LDm 5170 Ref 924 NLP 334 UKInd 317 ProLife 275 Con gain from Lab 2361 (4.88%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

105

 Erewash [Angela Knight] Con 28094 Lab 25163 LDm 5181 Ref 1404 SocLab 496 Con gain from Lab 2931 (4.86%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

106

 Richmond Park [Jeremy Hanley] Con 28127 LDm 25393 Lab 1487 Ref 1467 Lny 204 NLP 102 RDrm 73 Con gain from LDm 2734 (4.81%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

107

 Leeds North East [Timothy Kirkhope] Con 19959 Lab 17818 LDm 6318 Ref 946 SocLab 468 Con gain from Lab 2141 (4.70%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

108

 High Peak [Charles Hendry] Con 25976 Lab 23337 LDm 6420 Ref 1420 Con gain from Lab 2639 (4.62%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

109

 Swindon North [Guy Opperman] Con 21168 Lab 19202 LDm 6237 Ref 1533 NLP 130 Con gain from Lab 1966 (4.07%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

110

 Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine [George Kynoch] Con 19398 LDm 17742 SNP 5639 Ref 805 Lab -395 Con gain from LDm 1656 (3.83%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

111

 Elmet [Spencer Batiste] Con 24978 Lab 22939 LDm 4691 Ref 1487 Con gain from Lab 2039 (3.77%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

112

 Crosby [Sir Malcolm Thornton] Con 19781 Lab 18135 LDm 5080 Ref 813 Lib 233 NLP 99 Con gain from Lab 1646 (3.73%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

113

 Ealing North [Harry Greenway] Con 26316 Lab 24332 LDm 3887 UKInd 689 Grn 502 Con gain from Lab 1984 (3.56%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

114

 Blackpool North & Fleetwood [Harold Elletson] Con 24479 Lab 22677 LDm 4600 Ref 1704 BNP 288 Con gain from Lab 1802 (3.35%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

115

 Cardiff North [Gwilym Jones] Con 21182 Lab 19612 LDm 5294 PC 1201 Ref 1199 Con gain from Lab 1570 (3.24%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

116

 Conwy [David Jones] Con 14241 LDm 12965 Lab 10405 PC 2844 Ref 760 AltLD 250 NLP 95 Con gain from Lab 1276 (3.07%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

117

 Bedford [Robert Blackman] Con 21368 Lab 19880 LDm 6044 Ref 1503 NLP 149 Con gain from Lab 1488 (3.04%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

118

 Perth [John Godfrey] Con 17523 SNP 16209 Lab 6581 LDm 3583 Ref 366 UKInd 289 Con gain from SNP 1314 (2.95%) Swing SNP to Con 5.00%

119

 Harrow East [Hugh Dykes] Con 25887 Lab 24229 LDm 4697 Ref 1537 UKInd 464 NLP 171 Con gain from Lab 1658 (2.91%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

120

 Chorley [Den Dover] Con 26507 Lab 24837 LDm 4900 Ref 1319 NLP 143 Con gain from Lab 1670 (2.89%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

121

 Norwich North [Dr Robert Kinghorn] Con 23381 Lab 21841 LDm 6951 Ref 1777 LCP 512 SocLab 495 NLP 100 Con gain from Lab 1540 (2.80%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

122

 Twickenham [Toby Jessel] Con 27770 LDm 26237 Lab 3251 IndECR 589 RDrm 155 NLP 142 Con gain from LDm 1533 (2.64%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

123

 Great Yarmouth [Michael Carttiss] Con 22304 Lab 21196 LDm 5381 Con gain from Lab 1108 (2.27%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

124

 Cleethorpes [Michael Brown] Con 21929 Lab 21011 LDm 5746 Ref 1787 Con gain from Lab 918 (1.82%) Swing Lab to Con 10.00%

125

 Portsmouth South [David Martin] Con 21263 LDm 20421 Lab 7917 Ref 1629 Lib 184 UKInd 141 NLP 140 Con gain from LDm 842 (1.63%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

126

 Isle of Wight [Andrew Turner] Con 32183 LDm 31274 Ref 4734 Lab 2331 UKInd 1072 IInd 848 Grn 544 NLP 87 RainIsl 86 Con gain from LDm 909 (1.24%) Swing LDm to Con 5.00%

127

 Chester City of [Gyles Brandreth]