UK-Elect Forecast for February 2000:

Based on an average of the latest GB poll percentages (Lab 50%, Con 30%, Lib Dem 15%, Nationalists 3%)

Party Seats Change
Labour 457 +29
Conservative 138 -27
Liberal Democrat 37 -9
Ulster Unionist 10 -
Scottish National Party 6 -
SDLP 3 -
Plaid Cymru 2 -
Sinn Fein 2 -
DUP 2 -
UKU 1 -
 
 
 

Notes: Forecasts were based on an approximate average of thelatest GB poll percentages. A simple uniform percentage swing method was used, and applied to GB constituencies only. Results from Northern Ireland are based on those of the last election and included for completeness only.

April 1992 May 1997 Feb 2000 Mar 2000 Apr 2000 May 2000 Jun 2000 Jul 2000 Aug 2000 Sep 2000 Oct 2000 Nov 2000 Dec 2000 Jan 2001 Feb 2001 May2001 5% Swing Con-Lab 5% Swing Lab-Con 10% Swing Lab-Con 15% Swing Lab-Con


UK-Elect Home Page