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Latest Scottish Parliament Forecast


 


UK-Elect is the leading UK election forecasting and analysis software. It provides full support for forecasting UK General Elections, Scottish Parliament Elections, Welsh Assembly Elections, UK European Parliament Elections and Local Elections. Users can enter their own anticipated national vote percentages, or those from the latest opinion poll and UK-Elect will predict the detailed results for every British constituency. UK-Elect is also capable of converting by-elections and early election night results into national vote shares and making forecasts based on them, or on a weighted mix of early results and opinion poll data. Election forecasting can be configured to take account of tactical voting. Electoral systems supported include First Past The Post, Party List, Alternative Vote, Two Round,  Supplementary Vote, Single Transferable Vote, and the Additional Member System, and UK-Elect can "convert" results and forecasts between many of these systems.

The extensive sets of elections in this version include the 1983 - 2010 General Elections, the 1989 - 2014 UK European Parliament results, the 1999, 2003, 2007 and 2011 Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly results, the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 London Mayor and London Assembly results, the 1997 Scottish Devolution Referendum, the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum, the 1997 and 2011 Welsh Devolution Referendum results, the 2011 Alternative Vote Referendum results, the 2012 Police and Crime Commissioner results, and many hundreds of sets of local elections from the early 1990s until the present. Users can also add their own election results, and make forecasts based on them.

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